Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.233580 1.405701 1.593071 1.812185 2.061416 2.336121 2.661945
2025-11-16 0.965084 1.198496 1.474860 1.826229 2.261245 2.782449 3.454921
2025-11-23 0.820795 1.081874 1.409515 1.850922 2.430453 3.166093 4.172225
2025-11-30 0.707131 0.978736 1.336240 1.841330 2.537182 3.463320 4.792065
2025-12-07 0.612074 0.883894 1.256809 1.805878 2.594616 3.688439 5.324335
2025-12-14 0.532368 0.798592 1.177635 1.756763 2.620436 3.863119 5.792148
2025-12-21 0.475021 0.737771 1.124770 1.736395 2.680302 4.084911 6.340785
2025-12-28 0.447956 0.718505 1.129700 1.800253 2.868448 4.508330 7.226429
2026-01-04 0.405146 0.669737 1.083875 1.779343 2.920623 4.724588 7.804267
2026-01-11 0.382139 0.649923 1.080834 1.824771 3.080250 5.120058 8.700669
2026-01-18 0.353713 0.618037 1.054716 1.828683 3.170019 5.406962 9.438795
2026-01-25 0.322076 0.577442 1.010041 1.796243 3.193775 5.583206 9.999886
2026-02-01 0.286970 0.530002 0.953786 1.746551 3.197534 5.750570 10.608864
2026-02-08 0.264379 0.503119 0.931733 1.757249 3.313364 6.131758 11.654594
2026-02-15 0.246376 0.482438 0.918190 1.781112 3.454094 6.568900 12.845653
2026-02-22 0.226114 0.455061 0.889103 1.771877 3.530124 6.891465 13.849243
2026-03-01 0.205202 0.424012 0.849620 1.737762 3.553212 7.113442 14.675758
2026-03-08 0.185215 0.392580 0.806044 1.690498 3.544269 7.270104 15.383993
2026-03-15 0.170276 0.369912 0.777610 1.670898 3.589087 7.537103 16.344689
2026-03-22 0.164579 0.366163 0.787497 1.732349 3.809416 8.183932 18.173576
2026-03-29 0.151948 0.345985 0.760788 1.712227 3.851998 8.460459 19.225930
2026-04-05 0.145845 0.339647 0.763112 1.755943 4.038780 9.063251 21.062123
2026-04-12 0.137026 0.326183 0.748407 1.759708 4.135716 9.477049 22.509615